Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000683 0.000712 0.000741 0.000773 0.000807 0.000842 0.000881
2025-11-02 0.000634 0.000677 0.000722 0.000773 0.000829 0.000888 0.000958
2025-11-09 0.000589 0.000641 0.000696 0.000761 0.000834 0.000914 0.001011
2025-11-16 0.000554 0.000612 0.000675 0.000750 0.000838 0.000937 0.001060
2025-11-23 0.000538 0.000602 0.000674 0.000762 0.000866 0.000987 0.001141
2025-11-30 0.000520 0.000588 0.000666 0.000763 0.000881 0.001021 0.001204
2025-12-07 0.000497 0.000568 0.000650 0.000753 0.000881 0.001036 0.001242
2025-12-14 0.000476 0.000549 0.000634 0.000742 0.000878 0.001047 0.001276
2025-12-21 0.000459 0.000533 0.000621 0.000734 0.000879 0.001061 0.001313
2025-12-28 0.000432 0.000505 0.000591 0.000704 0.000850 0.001035 0.001295
2026-01-04 0.000418 0.000491 0.000579 0.000694 0.000846 0.001041 0.001321
2026-01-11 0.000406 0.000480 0.000571 0.000690 0.000849 0.001057 0.001359
2026-01-18 0.000394 0.000468 0.000560 0.000683 0.000848 0.001067 0.001391
2026-01-25 0.000386 0.000462 0.000557 0.000685 0.000860 0.001096 0.001453
2026-02-01 0.000374 0.000450 0.000545 0.000676 0.000856 0.001103 0.001481
2026-02-08 0.000363 0.000439 0.000535 0.000668 0.000853 0.001110 0.001511
2026-02-15 0.000360 0.000438 0.000538 0.000678 0.000875 0.001154 0.001598
2026-02-22 0.000353 0.000433 0.000535 0.000680 0.000886 0.001181 0.001661
2026-03-01 0.000344 0.000423 0.000525 0.000671 0.000881 0.001185 0.001688
2026-03-08 0.000334 0.000413 0.000515 0.000661 0.000874 0.001187 0.001710
2026-03-15 0.000326 0.000404 0.000507 0.000655 0.000872 0.001194 0.001741
2026-03-22 0.000311 0.000387 0.000486 0.000629 0.000840 0.001155 0.001693
2026-03-29 0.000304 0.000378 0.000477 0.000621 0.000835 0.001156 0.001712